{
  "database_pairs": 680,
  "separate_asset_runs": 688,
  "date_range": [
    "2017-08-17",
    "2026-10-06"
  ],
  "TIA_query": {
    "symbol": "TIAUSDT",
    "B_end": "2025-06-30",
    "B_days": 60,
    "price_7d": -0.12531486146095716,
    "volume_ratio": 0.8448655306903077,
    "trades_ratio": 0.891561496125128,
    "oi_sources": [
      "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/TIAUSDT/TIAUSDT-metrics-2025-06-23.zip",
      "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/TIAUSDT/TIAUSDT-metrics-2025-06-30.zip"
    ],
    "oi_change": 0.2672850767634347
  },
  "valid_historical_B_windows_scanned": 213572,
  "raw_B_matches": 3349,
  "deoverlapped_B_matches": 1275,
  "AB_half_matches": 654,
  "AB_full_matches": 237,
  "AB_unique_pairs": 191,
  "OI_enriched_matches": 237,
  "OI_complete_matches": 111,
  "OI_endpoint_days_requested": 476,
  "OI_endpoint_days_available": 231,
  "top_context_matches": [
    {
      "symbol": "DOTUSDT",
      "B_days": 90,
      "B_start": "2022-03-17",
      "B_end": "2022-06-15",
      "A_start": "2021-12-17",
      "C_end": "2022-09-13",
      "b_distance": 0.3799273215304563,
      "a_distance": 0.5463122489834158,
      "price_7d": -0.05771365149833518,
      "volume_ratio": 0.9439185974325516,
      "trades_ratio": 1.1004699556857584,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/DOTUSDT/DOTUSDT-metrics-2022-06-08.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/DOTUSDT/DOTUSDT-metrics-2022-06-15.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.30539890720118024,
      "context_distance": 0.4427846481741846,
      "C_return": -0.16843345111896357
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NEOUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.4073677646612661,
      "a_distance": 0.47434032742620336,
      "price_7d": -0.10655090765588004,
      "volume_ratio": 0.8973316335133519,
      "trades_ratio": 0.9579024678760146,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/NEOUSDT/NEOUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/NEOUSDT/NEOUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.02345662252899161,
      "context_distance": 0.4472943865942621,
      "C_return": 0.01590106007067127
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EGLDUSDT",
      "B_days": 60,
      "B_start": "2023-07-06",
      "B_end": "2023-09-04",
      "A_start": "2023-05-07",
      "C_end": "2023-11-03",
      "b_distance": 0.33489996995377935,
      "a_distance": 0.43614785178881754,
      "price_7d": -0.024266144814090063,
      "volume_ratio": 0.9579146889067426,
      "trades_ratio": 0.9289441023155754,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/EGLDUSDT/EGLDUSDT-metrics-2023-08-28.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/EGLDUSDT/EGLDUSDT-metrics-2023-09-04.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.18460504326575156,
      "context_distance": 0.46653700436430606,
      "C_return": 0.31608503810669886
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SEIUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.42238979381800157,
      "a_distance": 0.5316761468248699,
      "price_7d": -0.1493756003842459,
      "volume_ratio": 0.8010212912998472,
      "trades_ratio": 0.7806362432751234,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/SEIUSDT/SEIUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/SEIUSDT/SEIUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.020662525212968408,
      "context_distance": 0.4727736756619726,
      "C_return": 0.11208356860530766
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BTCUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2021-04-29",
      "B_end": "2021-05-29",
      "A_start": "2021-03-30",
      "C_end": "2021-06-28",
      "b_distance": 0.47421673279567583,
      "a_distance": 0.5520501983380973,
      "price_7d": -0.07595728994574868,
      "volume_ratio": 1.0086434098761723,
      "trades_ratio": 1.0913825768328054,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/BTCUSDT/BTCUSDT-metrics-2021-05-22.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/BTCUSDT/BTCUSDT-metrics-2021-05-29.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.3816734359997569,
      "context_distance": 0.4737927635994348,
      "C_return": -0.003186230951173541
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XTZUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.4063772323837656,
      "a_distance": 0.6964554627192979,
      "price_7d": -0.05385556915544665,
      "volume_ratio": 0.6247941322510748,
      "trades_ratio": 0.9081118559389854,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/XTZUSDT/XTZUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/XTZUSDT/XTZUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.15183344485244565,
      "context_distance": 0.4772734910958219,
      "C_return": -0.002587322121604174
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EGLDUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.3411109291660911,
      "a_distance": 0.5434742928694603,
      "price_7d": -0.13808664259927805,
      "volume_ratio": 1.0306856503047266,
      "trades_ratio": 1.0566198022275823,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/EGLDUSDT/EGLDUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/EGLDUSDT/EGLDUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.09305441168900885,
      "context_distance": 0.4773826994155595,
      "C_return": 0.250610820244328
    },
    {
      "symbol": "ATOMUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.3055376313349573,
      "a_distance": 0.6846382214690712,
      "price_7d": -0.05572668720246432,
      "volume_ratio": 0.8034143396236573,
      "trades_ratio": 0.979896348699142,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/ATOMUSDT/ATOMUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/ATOMUSDT/ATOMUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.04913636546016065,
      "context_distance": 0.4929137930115007,
      "C_return": -0.07072953736654797
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HBARUSDT",
      "B_days": 90,
      "B_start": "2022-03-17",
      "B_end": "2022-06-15",
      "A_start": "2021-12-17",
      "C_end": "2022-09-13",
      "b_distance": 0.38502323214694484,
      "a_distance": 0.547336376616477,
      "price_7d": -0.17974971558589314,
      "volume_ratio": 0.8901733998791885,
      "trades_ratio": 1.016918565305662,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/HBARUSDT/HBARUSDT-metrics-2022-06-08.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/HBARUSDT/HBARUSDT-metrics-2022-06-15.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.03557805982049067,
      "context_distance": 0.4987625255444513,
      "C_return": -0.10124826629681005
    },
    {
      "symbol": "GALUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.2948660047118525,
      "a_distance": 0.6828218430010077,
      "price_7d": -0.19107806691449802,
      "volume_ratio": 0.6139234050410356,
      "trades_ratio": 0.8000901449452152,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/GALUSDT/GALUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/GALUSDT/GALUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.1092964165430721,
      "context_distance": 0.5275657447604643,
      "C_return": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SUPERUSDT",
      "B_days": 60,
      "B_start": "2024-05-09",
      "B_end": "2024-07-08",
      "A_start": "2024-03-10",
      "C_end": "2024-09-06",
      "b_distance": 0.34356395322395406,
      "a_distance": 0.4052709636861565,
      "price_7d": -0.18390629753574694,
      "volume_ratio": 0.9379508119602913,
      "trades_ratio": 1.0207336083480236,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/SUPERUSDT/SUPERUSDT-metrics-2024-07-01.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/SUPERUSDT/SUPERUSDT-metrics-2024-07-08.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.022536911253620895,
      "context_distance": 0.5398310653108951,
      "C_return": 0.1362534948741847
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WAXPUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.31444337493240604,
      "a_distance": 0.6852899097464094,
      "price_7d": -0.18557751069464246,
      "volume_ratio": 1.080602023541922,
      "trades_ratio": 1.1548750928336502,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/WAXPUSDT/WAXPUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/WAXPUSDT/WAXPUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.24343925510084619,
      "context_distance": 0.5768025909099813,
      "C_return": 0.017008504252125967
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VETUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.38657183794921113,
      "a_distance": 0.4982519296690104,
      "price_7d": -0.10234020258470133,
      "volume_ratio": 0.8267510606612436,
      "trades_ratio": 1.0289736917053107,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/VETUSDT/VETUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/VETUSDT/VETUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": -0.0404431402147305,
      "context_distance": 0.5792979381411695,
      "C_return": 0.14319066147859916
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SXPUSDT",
      "B_days": 90,
      "B_start": "2022-03-03",
      "B_end": "2022-06-01",
      "A_start": "2021-12-03",
      "C_end": "2022-08-30",
      "b_distance": 0.4401181256267713,
      "a_distance": 0.5903847431228191,
      "price_7d": -0.03947368421052633,
      "volume_ratio": 0.7809997012470175,
      "trades_ratio": 0.5876877210826128,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/SXPUSDT/SXPUSDT-metrics-2022-05-25.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/SXPUSDT/SXPUSDT-metrics-2022-06-01.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": 0.2231921876552072,
      "context_distance": 0.5814987877462221,
      "C_return": -0.28375733855185914
    },
    {
      "symbol": "ZILUSDT",
      "B_days": 30,
      "B_start": "2024-05-23",
      "B_end": "2024-06-22",
      "A_start": "2024-04-23",
      "C_end": "2024-07-22",
      "b_distance": 0.32225125063092736,
      "a_distance": 0.6637541878119524,
      "price_7d": -0.12240768841679306,
      "volume_ratio": 0.8719260952233457,
      "trades_ratio": 1.0252717791591786,
      "oi_sources": [
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/ZILUSDT/ZILUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
        "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/ZILUSDT/ZILUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
      ],
      "oi_change": -0.05058545796421632,
      "context_distance": 0.5872321752107965,
      "C_return": 0.0011527377521614035
    }
  ],
  "outcomes_AB": {
    "selected": 237,
    "observed": 234,
    "positive_fraction": 0.452991452991453,
    "median": -0.01721272554605896,
    "p10_p90": [
      -0.26175748649975467,
      0.3052086484190871
    ]
  },
  "outcomes_context_top10": {
    "selected": 10,
    "observed": 9,
    "positive_fraction": 0.4444444444444444,
    "median": -0.002587322121604174,
    "p10_p90": [
      -0.11468530326124075,
      0.2637056638168022
    ]
  },
  "handoff_screen": {
    "definition": "Weekly Saturdays 2020 onward. >=60 observed history days and >=$1m prior30 mean quote volume. Leader week return>=10%, beats BTC by>=5pp, volume>=1.5x prior28, trades>=1.25x. Following week leader return<=0 and market volume share declines>=30%; different receiver satisfies same strengthening rules. No OI in broad handoff screen; descriptive simultaneous market-activity changes, not transfers.",
    "leader_weeks_checked": 7198,
    "ordered_pair_events": 56038,
    "distinct_calendar_handoff_weeks": 306,
    "pairs_repeated_twice_pre2025": 5399,
    "repeated_pairs_with_2025_occurrence": 195,
    "top_repeated_pairs": [
      {
        "leader": "BELUSDT",
        "receiver": "AXSUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 2,
        "total": 5
      },
      {
        "leader": "BELUSDT",
        "receiver": "RUNEUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 2,
        "total": 5
      },
      {
        "leader": "NMRUSDT",
        "receiver": "OGUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 2,
        "total": 5
      },
      {
        "leader": "MASKUSDT",
        "receiver": "MDTUSDT",
        "pre2025": 4,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 5
      },
      {
        "leader": "ZRXUSDT",
        "receiver": "ATOMUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "OGNUSDT",
        "receiver": "FETUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "BELUSDT",
        "receiver": "DASHUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "ONGUSDT",
        "receiver": "COMPUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "TFUELUSDT",
        "receiver": "WINGUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "TFUELUSDT",
        "receiver": "NKNUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "BELUSDT",
        "receiver": "STXUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "ETCUSDT",
        "receiver": "AAVEUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "TRUUSDT",
        "receiver": "OGUSDT",
        "pre2025": 2,
        "2025_onward": 2,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "TRUUSDT",
        "receiver": "TRBUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      },
      {
        "leader": "PERPUSDT",
        "receiver": "AVAXUSDT",
        "pre2025": 3,
        "2025_onward": 1,
        "total": 4
      }
    ]
  },
  "limits": [
    "Whole stored Binance USDT catalogue, not every global coin",
    "Stable/pegged assets remain; screen liquidity/return guards only",
    "Relisted tickers split, gappy B/A rejected",
    "Fixed old .5/.7 recipe; exploratory already inspected query, no predictive holdout",
    "OI queried only all chart-selected AB windows; futures availability bias",
    "Shape times normalized, mixed future horizons30/60/90 days",
    "Handoff pairs overlap and are correlated; repeat counts not statistical significance",
    "BTC relative-return filter is partial market control, not proof of rotation"
  ],
  "seconds": 14.684407141998236,
  "TIA_same_state": {
    "definition": "After original B/AB selection: 7d price <=-5%, recent7 volume and trade daily averages below preceding28, native-unit OI >=+5%. Added descriptive stricter screen after initial broad results, not untouched test.",
    "windows": 11,
    "unique_pairs": 11,
    "matches": [
      {
        "symbol": "XTZUSDT",
        "B_days": 30,
        "B_start": "2024-05-23",
        "B_end": "2024-06-22",
        "A_start": "2024-04-23",
        "C_end": "2024-07-22",
        "b_distance": 0.4063772323837656,
        "a_distance": 0.6964554627192979,
        "price_7d": -0.05385556915544665,
        "volume_ratio": 0.6247941322510748,
        "trades_ratio": 0.9081118559389854,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/XTZUSDT/XTZUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/XTZUSDT/XTZUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.15183344485244565,
        "context_distance": 0.4772734910958219,
        "C_return": -0.002587322121604174
      },
      {
        "symbol": "GALUSDT",
        "B_days": 30,
        "B_start": "2024-05-23",
        "B_end": "2024-06-22",
        "A_start": "2024-04-23",
        "C_end": "2024-07-22",
        "b_distance": 0.2948660047118525,
        "a_distance": 0.6828218430010077,
        "price_7d": -0.19107806691449802,
        "volume_ratio": 0.6139234050410356,
        "trades_ratio": 0.8000901449452152,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/GALUSDT/GALUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/GALUSDT/GALUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.1092964165430721,
        "context_distance": 0.5275657447604643,
        "C_return": null
      },
      {
        "symbol": "GMXUSDT",
        "B_days": 60,
        "B_start": "2023-07-06",
        "B_end": "2023-09-04",
        "A_start": "2023-05-07",
        "C_end": "2023-11-03",
        "b_distance": 0.4025109533688616,
        "a_distance": 0.6199906121084414,
        "price_7d": -0.1365721997300945,
        "volume_ratio": 0.5423717120762677,
        "trades_ratio": 0.6024137260791971,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/GMXUSDT/GMXUSDT-metrics-2023-08-28.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/GMXUSDT/GMXUSDT-metrics-2023-09-04.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.23585183736548232,
        "context_distance": 0.6206243971188014,
        "C_return": 0.48921537980618957
      },
      {
        "symbol": "JOEUSDT",
        "B_days": 30,
        "B_start": "2024-05-23",
        "B_end": "2024-06-22",
        "A_start": "2024-04-23",
        "C_end": "2024-07-22",
        "b_distance": 0.3089865628898464,
        "a_distance": 0.46195555564377366,
        "price_7d": -0.14262648008611412,
        "volume_ratio": 0.5398251142067546,
        "trades_ratio": 0.6902945196042288,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/JOEUSDT/JOEUSDT-metrics-2024-06-15.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/JOEUSDT/JOEUSDT-metrics-2024-06-22.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.07191406470075212,
        "context_distance": 0.6389136381164254,
        "C_return": 0.23320778405524178
      },
      {
        "symbol": "CTSIUSDT",
        "B_days": 60,
        "B_start": "2022-03-24",
        "B_end": "2022-05-23",
        "A_start": "2022-01-23",
        "C_end": "2022-07-22",
        "b_distance": 0.3484914828916205,
        "a_distance": 0.6125790165710361,
        "price_7d": -0.08351063829787231,
        "volume_ratio": 0.5436098111312263,
        "trades_ratio": 0.5945390732466854,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/CTSIUSDT/CTSIUSDT-metrics-2022-05-16.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/CTSIUSDT/CTSIUSDT-metrics-2022-05-23.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.30066271992311644,
        "context_distance": 0.648511562572677,
        "C_return": -0.0702263493905978
      },
      {
        "symbol": "BLZUSDT",
        "B_days": 30,
        "B_start": "2024-05-02",
        "B_end": "2024-06-01",
        "A_start": "2024-04-02",
        "C_end": "2024-07-01",
        "b_distance": 0.4200156844911762,
        "a_distance": 0.6947562966593671,
        "price_7d": -0.06413124533929904,
        "volume_ratio": 0.5787602429054701,
        "trades_ratio": 0.5825326960690261,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/BLZUSDT/BLZUSDT-metrics-2024-05-25.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/BLZUSDT/BLZUSDT-metrics-2024-06-01.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.18097091001230803,
        "context_distance": 0.667440108058825,
        "C_return": -0.19083665338645417
      },
      {
        "symbol": "YFIUSDT",
        "B_days": 90,
        "B_start": "2022-03-17",
        "B_end": "2022-06-15",
        "A_start": "2021-12-17",
        "C_end": "2022-09-13",
        "b_distance": 0.3472547492643837,
        "a_distance": 0.43063042867468443,
        "price_7d": -0.2800421526339347,
        "volume_ratio": 0.7660191824153372,
        "trades_ratio": 0.7812900970864768,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/YFIUSDT/YFIUSDT-metrics-2022-06-08.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/YFIUSDT/YFIUSDT-metrics-2022-06-15.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.10410888834509291,
        "context_distance": 0.7147437611922182,
        "C_return": 0.6847702297515785
      },
      {
        "symbol": "RENUSDT",
        "B_days": 90,
        "B_start": "2022-03-17",
        "B_end": "2022-06-15",
        "A_start": "2021-12-17",
        "C_end": "2022-09-13",
        "b_distance": 0.41892682617709304,
        "a_distance": 0.5797145549447087,
        "price_7d": -0.27902374670184704,
        "volume_ratio": 0.8553925455416722,
        "trades_ratio": 0.892427223467436,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/RENUSDT/RENUSDT-metrics-2022-06-08.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/RENUSDT/RENUSDT-metrics-2022-06-15.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.0603290425911136,
        "context_distance": 0.7173535365186835,
        "C_return": 0.09057639524245209
      },
      {
        "symbol": "FLOWUSDT",
        "B_days": 90,
        "B_start": "2022-03-17",
        "B_end": "2022-06-15",
        "A_start": "2021-12-17",
        "C_end": "2022-09-13",
        "b_distance": 0.35693436572092513,
        "a_distance": 0.6149513015161059,
        "price_7d": -0.2899159663865546,
        "volume_ratio": 0.6991522678319643,
        "trades_ratio": 0.8838299762461135,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/FLOWUSDT/FLOWUSDT-metrics-2022-06-08.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/FLOWUSDT/FLOWUSDT-metrics-2022-06-15.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.14906705877282933,
        "context_distance": 0.7278853702714194,
        "C_return": 0.10236686390532546
      },
      {
        "symbol": "LPTUSDT",
        "B_days": 90,
        "B_start": "2022-03-17",
        "B_end": "2022-06-15",
        "A_start": "2021-12-17",
        "C_end": "2022-09-13",
        "b_distance": 0.39804166174451555,
        "a_distance": 0.6048538232689177,
        "price_7d": -0.31275385865150285,
        "volume_ratio": 0.8550884170656095,
        "trades_ratio": 0.9610744132427043,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/LPTUSDT/LPTUSDT-metrics-2022-06-08.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/LPTUSDT/LPTUSDT-metrics-2022-06-15.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.06357984339421274,
        "context_distance": 0.8420229153778069,
        "C_return": 0.14893617021276584
      },
      {
        "symbol": "XEMUSDT",
        "B_days": 90,
        "B_start": "2022-03-17",
        "B_end": "2022-06-15",
        "A_start": "2021-12-17",
        "C_end": "2022-09-13",
        "b_distance": 0.3764732775540172,
        "a_distance": 0.5977718254902413,
        "price_7d": -0.16533864541832677,
        "volume_ratio": 0.378876040074969,
        "trades_ratio": 0.4689538263904064,
        "oi_sources": [
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/XEMUSDT/XEMUSDT-metrics-2022-06-08.zip",
          "https://data.binance.vision/data/futures/um/daily/metrics/XEMUSDT/XEMUSDT-metrics-2022-06-15.zip"
        ],
        "oi_change": 0.13781912307273503,
        "context_distance": 0.9669678859927774,
        "C_return": 0.009546539379474916
      }
    ]
  },
  "handoff_timing_control": {
    "samples": 500,
    "observed_repeated_pre2025_pairs": 5399,
    "random_median_repeated_pairs": 4842.5,
    "observed_repeated_pairs_with_later_occurrence": 195,
    "random_median_with_later_occurrence": 159.0,
    "random_later_count_p10_p90": [
      120.0,
      224.10000000000002
    ],
    "fraction_shuffles_with_at_least_observed_later_count": 0.212,
    "shuffle": "Receiver cohorts reassigned among weeks within same year, calendar quarter and 5pp BTC-return bucket; leaders remain fixed. Preserves receiver cohort composition/count and rough market period; breaks exact one-week alignment. Not proof of causality or an independent significance test.",
    "calendar_weeks": 352,
    "permutable_weeks": 291
  },
  "handoff_example": [
    {
      "leader": "BELUSDT",
      "receiver": "AXSUSDT",
      "leader_week_end": "2021-01-23",
      "receiver_week_end": "2021-01-30",
      "leader_return": 0.5054945054945055,
      "leader_next_return": -0.07685003857337835,
      "leader_volume_share_change": -0.48622572810857834,
      "receiver_return": 0.20962589928057573,
      "receiver_volume_ratio": 2.3281875964323264,
      "receiver_trade_ratio": 2.0544685770391076,
      "btc_receiver_return": 0.06811147827171271
    },
    {
      "leader": "BELUSDT",
      "receiver": "AXSUSDT",
      "leader_week_end": "2021-04-03",
      "receiver_week_end": "2021-04-10",
      "leader_return": 0.4538176080413756,
      "leader_next_return": -0.0031153274108612905,
      "leader_volume_share_change": -0.3178827405107264,
      "receiver_return": 0.49150248513156525,
      "receiver_volume_ratio": 2.762724148255771,
      "receiver_trade_ratio": 2.158238474945256,
      "btc_receiver_return": 0.047626601304004756
    },
    {
      "leader": "BELUSDT",
      "receiver": "AXSUSDT",
      "leader_week_end": "2021-07-17",
      "receiver_week_end": "2021-07-24",
      "leader_return": 0.35846326957080854,
      "leader_next_return": -0.06502189090048505,
      "leader_volume_share_change": -0.48594146025043217,
      "receiver_return": 1.2733142579495764,
      "receiver_volume_ratio": 3.7250308670128174,
      "receiver_trade_ratio": 2.4906800250819616,
      "btc_receiver_return": 0.08686751012926042
    },
    {
      "leader": "BELUSDT",
      "receiver": "AXSUSDT",
      "leader_week_end": "2025-07-12",
      "receiver_week_end": "2025-07-19",
      "leader_return": 0.2809952809952809,
      "leader_next_return": -0.018084393837910162,
      "leader_volume_share_change": -0.6216256611309767,
      "receiver_return": 0.10004066693777958,
      "receiver_volume_ratio": 1.5620550535636581,
      "receiver_trade_ratio": 1.638011006349581,
      "btc_receiver_return": 0.0035769034236075026
    },
    {
      "leader": "BELUSDT",
      "receiver": "AXSUSDT",
      "leader_week_end": "2026-04-18",
      "receiver_week_end": "2026-04-25",
      "leader_return": 0.11177052423343237,
      "leader_next_return": -0.03380782918149461,
      "leader_volume_share_change": -0.7213130790879555,
      "receiver_return": 0.40516473731077474,
      "receiver_volume_ratio": 6.882909230219551,
      "receiver_trade_ratio": 5.295672334236762,
      "btc_receiver_return": 0.02554095716627547
    }
  ]
}